US Dollar Technical Analysis: Bearish Reversal in Progress?

The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index may have finally started to turn lower as expected following the appearance of a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. Near-term support is at 11740, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 11653 Alternatively, a reversal above trend line support-turned-resistance at 11819 clears the way for a test of the 11854-76 zone (14.6% Fib expansion, March 2009 high).

Our long-term fundamental outlook calls for a broadly stronger US Dollar against its major currency counterparts. With that in mind, we are holding long via theMirror Trader US Dollar currency basket.